The Joe Pags Show

The Joe Pags Show

The Joe Pags Show originates from 1200 WOAI in San Antonio and can be heard on affiliate stations around the country and on the iHeartRadio app. Call...Full Bio



On Monday, CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten acknowledged just how well former President Donald Trump is polling with black voters as we see the demographics of the country beginning to change.

In the six battleground states, former President Trump continues to gain support of black American voters by significantly shrinking the deficit to 70% for President Biden and 18% for Trump, according to a May New York Times/Siena College poll.  On “CNN News Central,” Enten was stunned at how well Trump was shrinking the deficit with black voters.

“I keep looking for this to change, to go back to a historical norm and it, simply put, has not yet. So this is the margin, or, Biden and Trump among black voters, compare where we were at this point in 2020, compare to where we are now. At this point, look at this. In 2020, Joe Biden was getting 86% of the African American vote. Look at where it is now. It’s 70%, that’s a 16-point drop, John,” Enten explained to host John Berman told. “And more than that, it’s not just that Joe Biden is losing ground. It’s that Donald Trump is gaining ground. You go from 7%, single-digits at this point in 2020, to now 21%, and again, John, I keep looking for signs that this is going to go back to normal and I don’t see it yet in the polling of anything right now. We’re careening towards a historic performance for a Republican presidential candidate, the likes of which we have not seen in six decades.”


Enten pointed out to Berman that Biden continues to hold onto older black voters, but Trump is gaining significant ground with young black voters.

“This is where we get very interesting,” Enten said. “So I decided to deep dive deeper into the cross tabs, figure out where is it that Joe Biden is truly struggling among black voters. All right, so this is black voters, Biden versus Trump margin. Look at black voters age fifty and older and you’ll see it. Look, Joe Biden was leading amongst this group at this point by 83 points back in 2020. Now, it’s 74 points, so yeah, a slight decline in that margin, but nothing out of this world.”

“Look at black voters under the age of 50,” he said shocked. “Holy cow, folks, holy cow. Look at this. Joe Biden was up by 80 points among this group back at this point in 2020, look at where that margin has careened down towards. It’s now just, get this, 37 points. That lead has dropped by more than half, Mr. Berman. I’ve just never seen anything like this. I’m like speechless because you always look at history and you go, ‘Okay, this is a historic moment.’ If this polling is anywhere near correct, we’re looking at a historic moment right now, where black voters under the age of 50, which have historically been such a big part of the democratic coalition, are leaving in droves.”

Host John Berman acknowledged that this “huge drop” is shocking given the short amount of time passed since the last polling.

Enten also noted that when Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an independent presidential candidate, is included in the polling and added to the ballot, both Biden and Trump lose black voters, but Biden performs significantly worse.

“It’s partially an artifact of Donald Trump perhaps being better liked among black voters, but it’s also a real artifact of Joe Biden being significantly less liked among black voters than he was four years ago,” Enten said.

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